As you may know, 2012 is the widely predicted year of complete economic breakdown. Even if things don't collapse entirely there are a few very serious roadblocks in terms of debt, spending, and available capital that will have to be dealt with during the course of the year.
Potential Roadblocks:
- FOMC rates and stimulus decisions: they've pledged to keep rates low until 2013, but what happens when that's not enough? If a bear market hits the US pressure will be put on the fed to create stimulus, and if it doesn't, it could easily trigger the next great depression.
- Elections: the market may react quite negatively depending on who gets elected.
- Potential debt ceiling issues
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